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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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caller: i voted for john mccain. guest: there is a difference between pollsters and the republican polls. when we are wrong in our numbers, our clients lose and we do not get new clients. we are careful in how we are analyzing the survey. with the public polls, they have a different goal. the more they generate stories, the better it is. we have moved back to a 2004. so many of our stories are generated by pulling numbers as opposed to being generated by the campaign. i differ in terms of controlling on party. they do not control for party. you have seen in a short period of time, party identification jumping a good 10 points. you are generating a story rather than generating reality in terms of polling. all of the polls start coming back to the center. that is with the averaging does work. as you get closer to the election, surveys have a new ones because of the weighting on party. in 2008, we ended up with five polls that were exactly the same. guest: has citizen united affected the outcome? absolutely. it has made
caller: i voted for john mccain. guest: there is a difference between pollsters and the republican polls. when we are wrong in our numbers, our clients lose and we do not get new clients. we are careful in how we are analyzing the survey. with the public polls, they have a different goal. the more they generate stories, the better it is. we have moved back to a 2004. so many of our stories are generated by pulling numbers as opposed to being generated by the campaign. i differ in terms of...
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Nov 11, 2012
11/12
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the same way four years ago if we had had the electric of 1988, john mccain would have defeated barack obama. the facts are there. if people turn out, if minority voters turn out, the republicans have a disadvantage to service. latino vote, it was huge. though you look at the states, you could argue iowa. state after state, the latino vote if you take it out, the democrats would have lost. even in florida with 61-39, that the majority in florida among latinos but also the younger generation of cuban americans are voting like dominican or puerto ricans. biggest shift. 75-25 for obama. bush actually won the asian- american votes. it was a swing vote leaning republican. yesterday was three to one democratic. urban-rural. it is 60-40 and demographically which areas are growing, the urban areas or rural america? you would not want to bet on rural america to be our population center going ahead. young and old, again, the youngest voters of the most probing, although i will say that the 18-21 voters are less slightly older than they are. the 21-30. which would you rather have, young voters to
the same way four years ago if we had had the electric of 1988, john mccain would have defeated barack obama. the facts are there. if people turn out, if minority voters turn out, the republicans have a disadvantage to service. latino vote, it was huge. though you look at the states, you could argue iowa. state after state, the latino vote if you take it out, the democrats would have lost. even in florida with 61-39, that the majority in florida among latinos but also the younger generation of...
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Nov 11, 2012
11/12
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when you support comprehensive immigration reform like john mccain did but then refuse to do it when president obama is in the white house, when you have the nominee of the party, mitt romney, saying people should self deport. so their house and go back to mexico. you cannot win latino votes when you make war against them . what againstin california has happen nationwide. -- what has happened in california happened nationwide. i am not sure how much credit arthur davis has. i was disappointed when he left the party and supported mitt romney. i did not buy his reasons for doing so. i would disagree with him on this. i do not think republicans should write off the african- american party at all. they are talking about jobs, improving the economy. if they are willing to save medicare and social security are going to stay, they can get african-american votes. to write them off as arthur davis suggested i think would be a colossal mistake. host: we will get to your calls in just a moment. you can also send us a comment on facebook or twitter. what surprised you about the election? guest:
when you support comprehensive immigration reform like john mccain did but then refuse to do it when president obama is in the white house, when you have the nominee of the party, mitt romney, saying people should self deport. so their house and go back to mexico. you cannot win latino votes when you make war against them . what againstin california has happen nationwide. -- what has happened in california happened nationwide. i am not sure how much credit arthur davis has. i was disappointed...
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Nov 18, 2012
11/12
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i will quote john mccain -- it is always dark before it is completely black. if you look at the election there are a couple of things that are just outstanding to focus on. the last presidential candidate who achieved 60% of the white vote in the country is president george walker bush. mitt romney with 60% of the white vote in the country is defeated pretty resoundingly. in the 2004 bush campaign we received 44% of the latino vote. we were having discussions in the white house in 2005 that we were were able to get majority status with latino voters in the country. if you look at the election results you can really see the republican party throwing down the graphic in the country paying off. and so, when we look at it as a party and we look at the demographic changes in the country in the mountain west. we also give consideration that some of the fastest-growing latino populations came from north carolina and not necessarily the southwest border states and states in the rocky mountain west. we have now given up as republicans five u.s. senate seats in two elec
i will quote john mccain -- it is always dark before it is completely black. if you look at the election there are a couple of things that are just outstanding to focus on. the last presidential candidate who achieved 60% of the white vote in the country is president george walker bush. mitt romney with 60% of the white vote in the country is defeated pretty resoundingly. in the 2004 bush campaign we received 44% of the latino vote. we were having discussions in the white house in 2005 that we...
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Nov 24, 2012
11/12
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bob corker, tom coburn, and john mccain. what is going on here? it certainly looks to a layman that there is a desperate scramble to find a way to raise revenue in a cbo-scoreable way that would not be seen as violating the pledge. the question is, is the pledge losing its magic? >> i really take very strong exception to taking this poll seriously. because if you ask people, the vast majority of whom are not going to be subjected to this tax, and they are being told that somebody else will have to pay it -- and if you discover in the process that only 60% of the voters are in favor of that, i think it speaks for itself and speaks very well of the american people. if you have a public opinion poll where the voters would be asked how would you feel if we cut all of your taxes by half, and also give your children free tuition, except we would have to have a referendum on exiling barack obama from the united states, i would be interesting to hear the results of this vote. polls like that in my view should not be part of the serious conversation. every
bob corker, tom coburn, and john mccain. what is going on here? it certainly looks to a layman that there is a desperate scramble to find a way to raise revenue in a cbo-scoreable way that would not be seen as violating the pledge. the question is, is the pledge losing its magic? >> i really take very strong exception to taking this poll seriously. because if you ask people, the vast majority of whom are not going to be subjected to this tax, and they are being told that somebody else...
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Nov 17, 2012
11/12
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romney and john mccain. this is really his first solo trip to is not cutting other people's jealousies. this was his chance to do this. he released a memoir last year. it is coming down to whether -- how he calibrates that and what kind of early support he can get. in these early voting states, state lawmakers, former state lawmakers, they are the makers in these states. everyone of them controls political support. early support really makes a difference when trying to set up county chairs. people who will let you come into their living rooms for a 15 person meeting. that support in the early voting states really makes or breaks a candidate. these are state for you have to person nd do 10-20 meetings and that is how you translate and national profile and to an early victory. host: what would your headline be? guest: just the fact that marco rubio is arriving less than 2 weeks after election day, that is an early headline. it is remarkable that they are starting to that the groundwork this early. i was just i
romney and john mccain. this is really his first solo trip to is not cutting other people's jealousies. this was his chance to do this. he released a memoir last year. it is coming down to whether -- how he calibrates that and what kind of early support he can get. in these early voting states, state lawmakers, former state lawmakers, they are the makers in these states. everyone of them controls political support. early support really makes a difference when trying to set up county chairs....
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Nov 10, 2012
11/12
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we did a story recently about him and we had john mccain talk about how much -- how much he respected and although they did not always see eye to eye. but i think the foreign relations panel in both chambers, sense, i guess, the 1960's, just as not had as much as an impact on what the president does as it used to. if kerry becomes the secretary of state, i guess you end up taking what he was hoping to do -- and at the administration level. but it reiterates what i am saying, which is you can't do much until you are in the administration about these kinds of things. >> i think you made a good point. if i could go back to bob corker also. he is kind of this fascinating character to me. in some ways he is almost non partisan and the way he deals with a lot of people. it may be due to his background as mayor of chattanooga. instead of going to the republican national convention in tampa over the summer, he went to the middle east. some people will use these as publicity stunts -- look at me, i am substantive while others are getting drunk. but at the same time, he is a pretty sharp guy. d
we did a story recently about him and we had john mccain talk about how much -- how much he respected and although they did not always see eye to eye. but i think the foreign relations panel in both chambers, sense, i guess, the 1960's, just as not had as much as an impact on what the president does as it used to. if kerry becomes the secretary of state, i guess you end up taking what he was hoping to do -- and at the administration level. but it reiterates what i am saying, which is you can't...
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Nov 18, 2012
11/12
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mitt romney got your votes than john mccain in ohio. the technology included the so- called orca system, which was the republican get-out-the-vote technology to ensure that we were targeting people and getting them to the polls. i am told that it got so many hits from people around the country with target calls, it thought it was under attack and closed down. for those of you hear from -- again, the technology field, with an interest in politics, we republicans want to talk to you. [laughter] we need some help. i think that the democratic system was quite effective at micra targeting. i have heard a lot of anecdotes -- you will love it, someone gets a call who is a democrat in law school and it says that we see you have voted and that this information is publicly available, 2:00 on election day, but your sister has not voted, could you call her. that is the level at which we were doing. frankly, we were flying blind at that point. part of it is technology, which led to a turnout effort that was very impressive on their side. in the end
mitt romney got your votes than john mccain in ohio. the technology included the so- called orca system, which was the republican get-out-the-vote technology to ensure that we were targeting people and getting them to the polls. i am told that it got so many hits from people around the country with target calls, it thought it was under attack and closed down. for those of you hear from -- again, the technology field, with an interest in politics, we republicans want to talk to you. [laughter]...
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Nov 25, 2012
11/12
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you worked for john mccain. you hung out with eric cantor. overwork crystal be here tomorrow. these are your pals. -- grover norquist will be here tomorrow. first, is it fun? [laughter] and my role stocks i agree with a lot of wear my blistering to take us, but as a realist be used to work for richard nixon, look at the world as it is, as i hope it might be. do you believe, given the people you know, that there is a chance for a strategic response to these things? they are a response to respond because of their inability to get along because of the people in the white house. >> we don't get along, but that's been true for a long time. we would out to go back to a different kind of leadership, a kind we had with ronald reagan presidential leadership matt, here is what america needs. i will send this bill in to the congress saying we need to do this and what that does is congress is able to say, we do not want to do this. this is not my choice. >> maybe obama ought to make bill clinton is fiscal cliff envoy? >> i thought he did? >> this is important. to bridge that experience. f
you worked for john mccain. you hung out with eric cantor. overwork crystal be here tomorrow. these are your pals. -- grover norquist will be here tomorrow. first, is it fun? [laughter] and my role stocks i agree with a lot of wear my blistering to take us, but as a realist be used to work for richard nixon, look at the world as it is, as i hope it might be. do you believe, given the people you know, that there is a chance for a strategic response to these things? they are a response to respond...
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Nov 18, 2012
11/12
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we now call upon senator mccain. >> thank you, mr. chairman. let me thank our distinguished witness for his many years of impressive service in uniform. let me start by saying a word about general john allen, our commander in afghanistan. we had expected him to testify today on his confirmation to be supreme allied commander. while the committee await the conclusion of the inspector general investigation, i continue to believe that general allen is one of our best military leaders and i continue to have confidence in his ability to lead the war in afghanistan as well as to serve in the post for which she is now being nominated. general dunford, but a grateful for your willingness to upset this appointment in afghanistan. i also believe if you are confirmed you will have a difficult road ahead of you. i think our mission in afghanistan is at a very serious and troubling crossroads. with the recent reporting, it is deeply worrisome. over the last few months, our enemies have been rather successful in carrying out its insider attacks that have kil
we now call upon senator mccain. >> thank you, mr. chairman. let me thank our distinguished witness for his many years of impressive service in uniform. let me start by saying a word about general john allen, our commander in afghanistan. we had expected him to testify today on his confirmation to be supreme allied commander. while the committee await the conclusion of the inspector general investigation, i continue to believe that general allen is one of our best military leaders and i...